Primary: Malmo FF at home · AIK Stockholm away (n=10). Grey figures in parentheses = full-season all-venues rate when venue sample is sufficient. Not direct head-to-head history.
Head-to-head (23 games): Over 2.5 26% · BTTS 34%
- Malmo FF: Over 2.5 rate 100% versus league 54% (46 percentage points above).
- AIK Stockholm: BTTS rate 90% versus league 53% (37 percentage points above).
- AIK Stockholm's attack is 21% above league level, while Malmo FF's defence score is 30% below league level.
- Malmo FF: BTTS rate 78% versus league 53% (25 percentage points above).
- AIK Stockholm score more often late (76'+) than early (0–15'): 35% versus 18%.
- AIK Stockholm: Over 2.5 rate 70% versus league 54% (16 percentage points above).
Attack = goals scored ÷ half of league avg match goals; Defence = inverted concede ratio (higher = stingier). Samples: Malmo FF home 9, AIK Stockholm away 10 recent league games (form window).
Percentages use only matches where goal events sum to full-time (same gate as half-time from events).
Season venue split · home team at home vs away team away
* Half metrics prefer recorded halftime scores (score_halftime_* / HT columns), then goal events in historical_api_data.match_events when they reconcile to full-time. Second half = regulation FT team goals minus first-half team goals. If the home-only or away-only sample has no valid half rows, all-venues stats are used. Em dash = no reliable half sample.
Season venue split · home team at home vs away team away
* Opponent goals by half (same event-first / HT rules as goals scored). If the home-only or away-only sample has no valid half rows, all-venues stats are used.
1H / 2H totals use recorded halftime scores (same league season as other rows).
Lg avg = season average for this market.
Same sample as the 1st/2nd half goals tabs (venue split when it has HT rows; otherwise all venues).
★ = model-selected line · green >70% · grey 40–70% · red <40%
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 42 |
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| 2 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 36 |
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| 3 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 32 |
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| 4 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 31 |
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| 5 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 31 |
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| 6 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 31 |
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| 7 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 29 |
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| 8 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 |
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| 9 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 26 |
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| 10 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 24 |
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| 11 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
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| 12 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 20 |
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| 13 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
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| 14 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
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| 15 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 14 |
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| 16 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 11 |
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