Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
kickoff in
0h 00m
00s
17:00
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Wednesday, 16 December 2026 · 17:00
Chorten Arena
Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa
Regular Season - 4
Legia Warszawa 5–0 Radomiak Radom
FT
Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 Slask Wroclaw
FT
Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wieczysta Kraków
FT
Widzew Łódź 1–2 Korona Kielce
FT
Motor Lublin 1–0 GKS Katowice
FT
Cracovia Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa
FT
Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Wisla Krakow
FT
Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin
17:00
Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan
17:00
Goals snapshot API season 2026 · venue form

Primary: Jagiellonia at home (n=19) · Pogon Szczecin away (n=19). Grey figures in parentheses = full-season all-venues rate when venue sample is sufficient. Not direct head-to-head history.

Goals snapshot
Match totals
Over 2.5
Jagiellonia (H)
68% (60%) (n=19)
vs
Pogon Szczecin (A)
36% (33%) (n=19)
League avg 57%
BTTS
Jagiellonia (H)
63% (60%) (n=19)
vs
Pogon Szczecin (A)
47% (50%) (n=19)
League avg 63%
Team scoring
Scores 1+ goal
Jagiellonia (H)
84% (80%) (n=19)
vs
Pogon Szczecin (A)
68% (66%) (n=19)
Concedes 1+ goal
Jagiellonia (H)
73% (80%) (n=19)
vs
Pogon Szczecin (A)
73% (66%) (n=19)
Clean sheet
Jagiellonia (H)
26% (20%) (n=19)
vs
Pogon Szczecin (A)
26% (33%) (n=19)

Head-to-head (28 games): Over 2.5 60% · BTTS 67%

  • Jagiellonia score more often late (76'+) than early (0–15'): 60% versus 0%.
  • Pogon Szczecin: Over 2.5 rate 0% versus league 57% (57 percentage points below).
  • Pogon Szczecin: BTTS rate 0% versus league 63% (63 percentage points below).
  • Jagiellonia: BTTS rate 33% versus league 63% (30 percentage points below).
  • Jagiellonia have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
  • Jagiellonia: Over 2.5 rate 33% versus league 57% (24 percentage points below).
Strength snapshotVenue split vs league goals

Attack = goals scored ÷ half of league avg match goals; Defence = inverted concede ratio (higher = stingier). Samples: Jagiellonia home 2, Pogon Szczecin away 2 recent league games (form window).

Attack / defence vs league
Jagiellonia (home)
Attack 0.35 · Defence 1.42
Pogon Szczecin (away)
Attack 0.71 · Defence None
Goal timing · minute bands
Who scores first? Last 10 league games · opening goal from match events (own goals credit the beneficiary)
Jagiellonia
40%
2 of 5 scored games
Pogon Szczecin
80%
4 of 5 scored games
Jagiellonia (n=5)
Window
Scored
Conceded
0–15'
0%
0%
16–30'
0%
20%
31–45'
60%
20%
46–60'
0%
40%
61–75'
0%
0%
76–90+'
60%
40%
Pogon Szczecin (n=6)
Window
Scored
Conceded
0–15'
16%
0%
16–30'
33%
0%
31–45'
16%
16%
46–60'
33%
16%
61–75'
0%
0%
76–90+'
33%
33%

Percentages use only matches where goal events sum to full-time (same gate as half-time from events).

H2H markets · last 28 Direct H2H · overs / BTTS / clean sheets
82% Over 1.5
60% Over 2.5
32% Over 3.5
67% BTTS
2.93 avg goals / game
17% clean sheet · Jagiellonia
21% clean sheet · Pogon Szczecin
Goal ExpectationJagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin
Will they score? Scoring probability per team
Will Jagiellonia score?
80.0% Scored (home)
High chance

There is a High chance Jagiellonia scores, from scoring vs Pogon Szczecin clean sheets.

33.0% Clean sheets (overall)
Will Pogon Szczecin score?
20.0% Clean sheets (overall)
High chance

There is a High chance Pogon Szczecin scores, from scoring vs Jagiellonia clean sheets.

67.0% Scored (away)
Scoring probability
80%
(n=5)
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
(n=6)
60%
(n=5)
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
(n=6)
20%
(n=5)
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
(n=6)
Scoring behaviour
60%
(n=5)
Scored in 1H
20%
(n=5)
60%
(n=5)
Scored in 2H
60%
(n=5)
40%
(n=5)
Scored both halves
20%
(n=5)
Goal volume
0.80
(n=5)
Avg goals 1H
0.40
(n=5)
1.00
(n=5)
Avg goals 2H
0.80
(n=5)
1.80
(n=5)
Avg total goals
1.33
(n=6)
Goals scoredJagiellonia (home) vs Pogon Szczecin (away)

All venues · thin home/away sample in this competition (fewer than 3 games on one side)

Who will score more?

Jagiellonia is +35.0% better in terms of Goals scored

1.8 goals / match
Jagiellonia · all tournament fixtures (n=5)
1.3 goals / match
Pogon Szczecin · all tournament fixtures (n=6)
First / second half WDL Half-time form comparison

Jagiellonia is +20.0 pts stronger on 1H win rate in this sample.

1H attack 0.80 Avg 1H goals for

1H win % — Jagiellonia 40.0% vs Pogon Szczecin 20.0%

1H attack 0.40 Avg 1H goals for
Full-time · goals scored
Jagiellonia (H) Metric Pogon Szczecin (A)
1.80n=5
Avg / game
1.33n=6
80%n=5
Over 0.5 scored
66%n=6
40%n=5
Over 1.5 scored
50%n=6
20%n=5
Over 2.5 scored
16%n=6
20%n=5
Scored 4+ goals
0%n=6
20%n=5
Failed to score
33%n=6
First / second half · goals scored
Jagiellonia (H) Metric Pogon Szczecin (A)
60%n=5
Scored in 1H
20%n=5
60%n=5
Scored in 2H
60%n=5
40%n=5
Scored both halves
20%n=5
0.80n=5
Avg goals 1H
0.40n=5
1.00n=5
Avg goals 2H
0.80n=5

* Half metrics use the same all-fixtures sample as full-time (see note above). Em dash = no reliable half sample.

Goals concededJagiellonia (home) vs Pogon Szczecin (away)

All venues · thin home/away sample in this competition (fewer than 3 games on one side)

Who will concede goals?

Pogon Szczecin is +41.0% better in terms of Goals conceded (fewer conceded)

1.4 conceded / match
Jagiellonia · all tournament fixtures (n=5)
0.8 conceded / match
Pogon Szczecin · all tournament fixtures (n=6)
Full-time · goals conceded
Jagiellonia (H) Metric Pogon Szczecin (A)
1.40n=5
Avg conceded / game
0.83n=6
80%n=5
Over 0.5 conceded
66%n=6
60%n=5
Over 1.5 conceded
16%n=6
0%n=5
Over 2.5 conceded
0%n=6
0%n=5
Over 3.5 conceded
0%n=6
20%n=5
Clean sheets
33%n=6
First / second half · conceded
Jagiellonia (H) Metric Pogon Szczecin (A)
40%n=5
Conceded in 1H
0%n=5
80%n=5
Conceded in 2H
60%n=5
40%n=5
Conceded both halves
0%n=5
0.40n=5
Avg conceded 1H
0.00n=5
1.00n=5
Avg conceded 2H
0.60n=5

* Opponent goals by half on the same all-fixtures tournament sample as full-time.

Match goals · season · league window
Over & BTTS
>70% 40–70% <40%
JAG Market POG Avg
100%n=5 Over 0.5 83%n=6 91%
JAGPOG
80%n=5 Over 1.5 66%n=6 73%
JAGPOG
60%n=5 Over 2.5 33%n=6 46%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 Over 3.5 33%n=6 26%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 Over 4.5 0%n=6 10%
JAGPOG
60%n=5 BTTS 50%n=6 55%
JAGPOG
40%n=5 BTTS & Win 16%n=6 28%
JAGPOG
0%n=5 BTTS & Draw 33%n=6 16%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 BTTS & Lose 0%n=6 10%
JAGPOG
60%n=5 BTTS & Over 2.5 33%n=6 46%
JAGPOG
0%n=5 BTTS No & Over 2.5 0%n=6 0%
1st / 2nd half totals
JAG Market POG Avg
60%n=5 1H match total Over 0.5 33%n=6 46%
JAGPOG
40%n=5 1H match total Over 1.5 33%n=6 36%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 1H match total Over 2.5 16%n=6 18%
JAGPOG
40%n=5 1H match total Under 0.5 66%n=6 53%
JAGPOG
60%n=5 1H match total Under 1.5 66%n=6 63%
JAGPOG
80%n=5 1H match total Under 2.5 83%n=6 81%
JAGPOG
100%n=5 2H match total Over 0.5 66%n=6 83%
JAGPOG
60%n=5 2H match total Over 1.5 50%n=6 55%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 2H match total Over 2.5 0%n=6 10%
JAGPOG
0%n=5 2H match total Under 0.5 33%n=6 16%
JAGPOG
40%n=5 2H match total Under 1.5 50%n=6 45%
JAGPOG
80%n=5 2H match total Under 2.5 100%n=6 90%
JAGPOG

1H / 2H totals use recorded halftime scores (same league season as other rows).

Under markets inverse of overs
JAG Market POG Avg
0%n=5 Under 0.5 16%n=6 8%
JAGPOG
20%n=5 Under 1.5 33%n=6 26%
JAGPOG
40%n=5 Under 2.5 66%n=6 53%
JAGPOG
80%n=5 Under 3.5 66%n=6 73%
JAGPOG
80%n=5 Under 4.5 100%n=6 90%
JAGPOG

Lg avg = season average for this market.

Half W / D / L · from HT scorelines
Jagiellonia (H) Metric Pogon Szczecin (A)
40%n=5 1H Win % 20%n=5
60%n=5 1H Draw % 80%n=5
0%n=5 1H Loss % 0%n=5
40%n=5 2H Win % 20%n=5
20%n=5 2H Draw % 60%n=5
40%n=5 2H Loss % 20%n=5

Same sample as the 1st/2nd half goals tabs (venue split when it has HT rows; otherwise all venues).

Corners & cards Season · all fixtures per team
Model lines — recommended
>70% 40–70% <40%
Over 10.5 corners
model pick
JAG 20%
POG 16%
Over 4.5 cards
model pick
JAG 20%
POG 50%
Over 6.5 corners
JAG 60%
POG 50%
Over 1.5 cards
JAG 60%
POG 100%
Over 7.5 corners
JAG 60%
POG 50%
Over 2.5 cards
JAG 40%
POG 83%

★ = model-selected line · green >70% · grey 40–70% · red <40%

Last 5 Matches
03 Sep
2026
18:30
Lech Poznan
2-1
Jagiellonia
30 Aug
2026
12:45
Raków Częstochowa
2-5
Jagiellonia
27 Aug
2026
FC Iberia 1999
1-2
Jagiellonia
20 Aug
2026
Jagiellonia
4-0
FC Iberia 1999
13 Aug
2026
Rangers
1-1
Jagiellonia
07 Sep
2026
18:30
Pogon Szczecin
1-1
Wisla Plock
03 Sep
2026
18:30
Slask Wroclaw
2-1
Pogon Szczecin
29 Aug
2026
18:15
Zaglebie Lubin
0-0
Pogon Szczecin
23 Aug
2026
Pogon Szczecin
2-2
Wisla Krakow
08 Aug
2026
Pogon Szczecin
3-1
Motor Lublin
Standings
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
Legia Warszawa
6 3 3 0 12 4 8 12
2
Lech Poznan
4 3 1 0 8 3 5 10
3
Wisla Krakow
6 3 1 2 12 10 2 10
4
GKS Katowice
5 3 0 2 12 6 6 9
5
Gornik Zabrze
4 3 0 1 9 6 3 9
6
Jagiellonia
4 3 0 1 8 5 3 9
7
Pogon Szczecin
5 2 2 1 7 4 3 8
8
Korona Kielce
5 2 2 1 6 4 2 8
9
Zaglebie Lubin
5 2 2 1 5 4 1 8
10
Cracovia Krakow
6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
11
Piast Gliwice
6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12
Radomiak Radom
6 2 1 3 6 13 -7 7
13
Widzew Łódź
6 1 3 2 10 10 0 6
14
Slask Wroclaw
6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
15
Motor Lublin
6 1 2 3 6 10 -4 5
16
Wisla Plock
5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
17
Wieczysta Kraków
5 1 0 4 8 12 -4 3
18
Raków Częstochowa
4 0 0 4 5 11 -6 0
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Relegation

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